Norwegian climate goals will not be achieved by 2020 – we will be far away when the time comes. Alternative scenarios are now being calculated based on a number of possible developments.
The emissions – with no action taken – will increase to 57.3 mill. tons by 2010, and then decrease to 56.5 by 2020, presuming that emission-creating oil and gas-related activities will be strongly reduced.
For the years 2008 to 2012 we are aiming at a Kyoto-goal of 50 mill. tons of CO2 emissions pr. year. Norway intends to superfulfill this goal by going 1o% below that – to 45 mill. tons.
The Kyoto goals will be met by buying quotas in in the international market. In addition Norwegian industry etc. (i.e. all of us) must reduce emission by 5 mill. tons, including purchased qoutas. The Government will buy quotas for 6-7 mill. tons per year.
The Storting has stated that by 2020 emissions will be reduced to 35 mill. tons, including purchased quotas. The goal for year 2020 will be reached by reducing emissions from industry etc. by 15-17 mill. tons and buying quotas for 5 mill. tons.
The Norwegian government also has a goal of max. temperature increase of 2 degrees centigrade compared to the level before the industrial revolution.
There will soon be serious changes in the way we do things – but the finance minister can not or will not say what!
Love the advice. Thank you.
Nice work! I’ll have to do a cross post on this one
Wonderfull…